UFC Betting Picks, Vegas Odds & Best UFC 264 McGregor vs Poirier Bets
UFC 264 Card: McGregor vs. Poirier offers a number of volatile fights. This potentially creates value on a few sharp outsiders as well as some more secure choices. Awesemo’s OddsShopper tool is a crucial key to maximizing profits in these betting markets. By finding the best odds and UFC fight lines, let’s get into MMA betting picks and start cashing in some of those tickets.
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UFC Vegas Odds & Betting Picks: McGregor vs. Poirier III
Dustin Poirier -115 (Sugar House)
Dustin Poirier supports Conor McGregor for a potential title in the third part of their trilogy. The first fight between these two took place in 2014, ending in a knockout victory for McGregor. Since then, Poirier is 10-2 pro and McGregor is 6-3. The second fight between these two took place in January of this year, with Poirier winning by knockout in the second round. Poirier hits 5.59 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.17. McGregor has a solid background in boxing and deals 5.34 major punches himself. Both fighters have 54% strike defense and legitimate knockout power. Four of Poirier’s last six wins have come by knockout, while McGregor has 10 UFC knockouts. On the carpet Poirier has a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. With seven wins per submission, Poirier averages 1.47 eliminations per fight. McGregor himself managed 0.70 out but gave up the advantage on the mat here. A defensive grappler, McGregor relies on his 67% takedown defense and strong jamming ability. However, McGregor’s four submission losses could pave the way for Poirier to win. Poirier has also fought top competition in recent times. Since McGregor’s 2018 loss to Khabib Nurmagomedov, his only victory came from a decline Donald cerrone. Meanwhile, Poirier won Max Holloway, Dan Hooker and McGregor, with his only loss to Nurmagomedov. Between the advantage on the mat and the stronger competition, Poirier is the superior bet. The line continues to move towards Poirier, making it one of the best UFC betting picks to jump on this week.
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Yana Kunitskaya +110 (Sugar House)
In the female bantamweight division, Yana Kunitskaya faces Irene Aldana like a slight outsider. Kunitskaya initially opened at +125 odds, but it has already been set at +110. Kunitskaya is 4-2 in the UFC with back-to-back wins over Julija Stoliarenko and Ketlen Vieira. Meanwhile, Aldana enters that first new loss against Holly holm, reducing his record to 5-4 in the UFC. On the feet, Aldana has a negative strike ratio. It inflicts 5.52 significant hits per minute for every 5.97 absorbed. This could be a problem in the context of Taekwondo and Kunitskaya Muay Thai. Kunitskaya hits 4.22 significant strikes per minute, absorbing just 2.62. On the mat, Kunitskaya also has a potential advantage. She averages 1.62 kills per fight with an accuracy of 53%. Aldana has an 84% takedown defense, but Holm knocked it down five times in their recent fight. While neither pose a bid threat, strikeouts could provide another avenue to consolidate rounds. With multiple advantages on her side, Kunitskaya looks like the sharp side of this +110 odds fight.
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Ryan Hall +195 (BetMGM)
Ryan Room faces Ilia Topuria in the preliminary presented. Hall hasn’t fought since 2019, most recently beating Darren elkins. However, he’s a perfect 4-0 in his most recent fights. Likewise, Topuria is 10-0 in her career, with two UFC-level wins against Youssef Zalal and Damon jackson. Neither of the two fighters is particularly aggressive on the feet. Hall lands 2.32 significant strikes per minute against 2.50 for Topuria. However, both are accomplished on the mat. Hall is a third-degree black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and a veteran of over 300 pure grappling matches. However, he only gets 0.32 kills per fight and has 16% accuracy. Topuria is also a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. He averages 4.25 eliminations with an accuracy of 55%. Hall has never faced a UFC strikeout attempt, while Topuria has a 100% strikeout defense on two attempts. Although the two fighters are at different stages in their careers, they have similar skills. With Hall’s experience advantage, odds of +195 look attractive here in the UFC betting markets. Even a small bet on Hall offers the possibility of getting a big payday.
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